Deposit Growth

Deposit Armageddon or Opportunity?

5 mins read
October 9, 2023
By
Mike Waterston
To retain depositors, financial institutions need to focus on relationship banking.
By James White, General Manager of Banking

For banking leaders, “rates-up” environments aren’t the boogeyman. In fact, they’ve wanted an upward movement in rates for a long time—about 15 years. It’s easier for institutions to make money when rates are at historical averages, rather than at historic lows. In a business where profit depends on the margin between the yield on earning assets and the cost of funds, there are more opportunities when you can work on both ends of that margin.

The grave risk facing financial institutions is that deposit-side competition is an atrophied muscle. Their risk isn’t a ”deposit Armageddon” caused by external factors, though pressure is certainly mounting. Rather, it’s an internal crisis brought on by years spent in an artificial reality of funding security. Institutions have had more deposits than they’ve known what to do with, so they didn’t need to worry about price. Now, they’ll need to show that they can compete with a balance of both price and service.

Relationships will become a key antidote to price competition. The differentiator, though, will be about which institutions consumers see as truly providing relationship banking. Value will soon sift institutions. There will be those who excel at deposit relationships and drive higher profits by managing the cost of funds, and then there will be those who see deposit outflow and precipitous increases in funding costs as they’ll have to look elsewhere to secure funding.  

“Relationship” must mean something much more than window-dressing; it must mean solving the problems on most customers’ or members’ minds if they hope to stave off price-driven attrition.

Finding safe returns

Right now, banking leaders are being kept awake at night by the ever-increasing and ever-improving options for safety and higher yield available to consumers with each passing month. For 15 years, the S&P 500 and alternative investments like cryptocurrencies have been the ONLY option for returns above 1% for first-time homebuyers, savers, and retirees. There’s an obvious pain point: return on investment for consumers has meant risk—and a lot of it. There has been no safe, government-guaranteed means of investment that offers an attractive rate of return.  

Now, though, the federal funds rate has climbed to 5.5%, the highest level since the Great Recession of 2008. Financial institutions now compete with the U.S. Treasury, which offers bonds over 5% at the time of this writing. Private firms, too, such as Edward Jones offering 5.45% for a year-long certificate of deposit (CD); Synchrony promoting 4.75% on savings accounts; Capital One with 5.25% CDs, and American Express with 5.00% CDs are stepping in.  

For investors in equities or cryptocurrencies, the new rate environment is a beacon of hope. With cryptocurrency in a seemingly perpetual state of flux, and the bears wreaking havoc in the stock market, 5% on an FDIC-insured CD sounds quite appealing. Those investors will seek a newer, safer harbor for their money, and competitors are already dangling offers to steal your accounts.

Providing accountholders with education and options is the kind of relationship banking people need today.

Looking for a financial home

Competitors’ aggressive pricing is one good reason for worrying about deposit attrition. But there’s a deeper, emotional movement happening that offers both risk and significant opportunity for banks and credit unions. Consumers, especially savers, many of whom have parked cash at their institutions for years, are looking for their financial forever home.  

Low rates on loans have supported borrowers’ financial dreams well. Savers such as first-time homebuyers and retirees–have struggled significantly.  

For example, among consumer cohorts now in their 20s and 30s, saving to purchase a home is a priority for less than 20%. That same cohort, though, says buying a home is a top priority, according to data gathered by Plinqit, a saving technology platform founded in 2018. First-time homebuyers need enough for a 3% down payment, they just don’t think that’s attainable, the platform reported in a webinar published by BankBeat.  

Those in or preparing for retirement have been in a similar camp. Pre-retirees, those aged 50 to 64, face a critical retirement challenge. According to a McKinsey & Company’s survey of 9,000 U.S. households, as many as 80% of baby boomers may be unprepared for retirement, and they must overcome “decumulation,” or the process of converting savings for retirement into a consistent and sufficient stream of income that lasts through retirement. “Many prospective retirees feel that they lack assets and the financial know-how they need for a confident retirement,” McKinsey Insights reported.  

It’s not just about the money for consumers across the age spectrum. They’ll seek higher and safer returns because having a home, a rainy-day fund, or a well-funded retirement (i.e., their financial needs and dreams) will depend on it.  

Providing accountholders with education and options is the kind of relationship banking people need today. Those institutions that help make their financial needs and dreams a reality have the best chance of remaining, or becoming, depositors’ financial home.  

Free to leave

We spoke with Neil Stanley, CEO and Founder of The CorePoint in Omaha, NE, who said that “consumers will put their money to work somewhere, and banking organizations will see deposit balances decay. So, they’ll either have to pay to keep those deposits, or they’ll need to understand and tailor their products in valuable ways.”  

The banking press has covered technology’s effect on deposit movements often. It’s generally understood that money can move today like never before. But is technology the only grease in those gears? Not even close. The Federal Reserve Board removed prohibitions that seemed insignificant during a time when institutions were cash flush—such as the prohibition on paying interest on commercial accounts or limiting the number of transactions from a savings account—that make moving money even easier.  

“No bank will rush to pay interest on commercial accounts,” said Stanley. “And transactions on savings accounts aren’t onerous in themselves, but they create even less regulatory friction than before for rate competition and depositor movement.”  

Then there’s the composition of core deposits at banking organizations. Only 14% of core deposits have maturities—the lowest level of tied-down deposits going back more than 35 years. And those non-interest-bearing accounts that banking leaders love—the ones that a competitor could pay interest on—have no commitment to stay from the depositor whatsoever.  

Depositors are on the move. A rising rate environment incentivizes consumers to seek providers who will help them change what has been a dire landscape for savers into a clear road toward strong financial outcomes. Quantitative tightening is also removing deposits from circulation, and depositors are starting to shift, so financial institutions must choose: Let chance decide which depositors stay or go or use engagement and education to show them you are their financial forever home.

ON-DEMAND WEBINAR

At Any Rate: How to Drive Deposit Growth & Retention

Watch this on-demand webinar for more insights on what’s pushing depositors to seek new homes for their hard-earned money and strategies for how modern banks can retain their existing accounts while enticing new deposits.

Watch the webinar
Resources

Related posts

AI

[Lykken on Lending podcast] Supercharging Mortgage Lending with AI

mins read
Read more

The mortgage industry is in the midst of a historic transformation—and artificial intelligence is leading the way. Our Founder & CEO, Joe Welu, joined David Lykken for an episode of the Lykken on Lending podcast to discuss how Total Expert’s AI solutions will reshape the customer journey for lenders.

From incubating leads and mining databases to nurturing post-close relationships, Joe shares how voice AI is giving loan officers “superpowers” that help scale productivity, improve retention, and focus on delivering the high-value advice consumers need most. With compliance guardrails built in and multiple AI agents on the horizon, this episode offers an inside look at the future of mortgage lending and why early adopters of AI will hold a major competitive edge.

Joe also explains why the human element remains central to homeownership, and how AI is designed not to replace loan officers, but to free them up for more meaningful conversations that strengthen customer trust and drive long-term loyalty.

Catch the conversation to hear how AI is revolutionizing lending and why Joe believes those who embrace it will be tomorrow’s market leaders.

Supercharging Mortgage Lending with AI
AI

[Daily Mortgage News Podcast] Joe Welu Talks Agentic AI in the Mortgage Industry

mins read
Read more

Total Expert Founder & CEO Joe Welu recently joined Robbie Chrisman for an episode of the Daily Mortgage News podcast where they discussed the current (and future) state of the mortgage industry, challenges facing lenders and loan officers, and the solutions that AI-enabled tools can provide in difficult markets.

Agentic AI is reshaping loan officer productivity and customer engagement. With Total Expert’s new AI Sales Assistant, lenders can automate lead incubation and qualification—achieving human-like conversion rates in weeks, not months. Joe also highlights the power of voice AI to revive aged leads, trigger refinance opportunities, and prevent deals from falling through the cracks, all without the need for massive call centers and without removing loan officers’ ability to build authentic human connections with borrowers and homeowners.

That’s because AI-enabled tools are designed to reduce the administrative and repetitive tasks that take you away from what you do best: advising customers and guiding them toward the best possible financial outcomes. Joe also shares insights on selecting AI partners wisely, managing data responsibly, and capitalizing on both front- and back-office efficiencies. As the AI arms race heats up, Total Expert aims to empower originators—not replace them.

Joe and Robbie's discussion begins at the 4:55 mark.

AI

Delivering AI Solutions that Drive Real Value in Financial Services

mins read
Read more

By Pete Karns, Chief Product Officer, Total Expert

AI is no longer a future state—it’s already here, embedded in everything from ride-sharing apps and food service to factories and farms. In the world of financial services, though, this ubiquity comes with pressure to integrate AI fast, appear innovative, and keep up with competitors—all while being mindful of evolving federal and state compliance requirements. Moving fast without a plan or awareness of up and downstream implications often leads to AI-enabled solutions that either underdeliver or don’t deliver at all.

At Total Expert, we’ve taken a different path: thoughtful integration over flashy announcements. As more financial institutions wrestle with what “real AI adoption” should look like, here’s what we’ve learned and what lenders need to consider to get it right.

Where enterprise AI goes wrong

Too many financial services leaders have experienced what I call “AI failure to launch (and scale).” They’ve rushed to try unintegrated AI-enable offerings and bolt on AI tools—often generalist chatbots, white-labeled versions of generative tools, and/or hooking up to MCP servers—without a clear sense of how these tools will solve their business problems or add potential risk. The result? The occasional value-add result. However, what we see more is poor user adoption, wasted spend, and limited impact.

This is the same trap we saw with “digital transformation” a decade ago, or the original horizontal SaaS applications that evolved or were replaced by vertical-specific solutions. AI-enabled solutions offer tremendous, generational promise but they risk becoming vanity-first, value-later tools. We are focused on the former.

AI that thinks and adapts: Welcome to agentic AI

Let’s make one thing clear: not all AI is created equal.  

Chatbots have been commonplace in financial services for a decade now, but remain rigid, rule-based tools that handle repetitive tasks.  I’ve worked with “AI” services for more than 15 years and each had their own place and potential when used properly. Herein lies the opportunity. Modern lenders that are focused on retaining and growing their customers in an ultra-competitive market need something more dynamic. Enter AI agents that can understand context, adapt on the fly, and speak in a human-like way. These agents are coachable, brand-aware, and learn from every interaction. They don’t follow scripts—they think in real time. And when built correctly, they become a seamless part of your customer experience.

This is the evolution from AI as a support function to AI as a trusted team member.

Total Expert recently launched an AI Sales Assistant that puts this principle into action. It functions as a scalable, intelligent teammate—able to engage leads, deliver personalized conversations, and identify high-potential opportunities—all while staying aligned with your brand voice and compliance requirements. It’s not a chatbot bolted onto a CRM—it’s a fully integrated AI-enabled solution, utilizing data, embedding within workflow orchestration, and playing nice with application logic because it has the necessary context to work within your lending ecosystem.

The real “why” behind AI adoption

Before choosing any AI solution, or any technology solution, financial services firms must ask themselves: What business problem are we solving?

For example, when mortgage rates dropped for a few weeks in September 2024, our customer intelligence capabilities identified nearly $2 billion in immediate refinance opportunities. But no team of loan officers could scale quickly enough to reach every qualified lead. That’s where AI tools prove invaluable—automating first-touch outreach at scale, surfacing the best opportunities, and empowering human teams to scale up execution to drive retention and growth.

Why embedded beats bolted-on

The types of AI-enabled solutions we are talking about can’t function effectively in isolation. Without access to timely and accurate customer data, and invoked within a specific workflow process, it can’t personalize interactions, anticipate needs, or drive conversions at the right time.

Picture an AI assistant offering a refinance to a customer, only to stall when asked for more details. If it doesn’t know the customer’s current rate or financial profile, the experience feels hollow. That’s not just ineffective—it damages trust.

By contrast, when AI-enabled solutions are embedded within a unified customer experience platform like Total Expert, it draws on a 360-degree view of the customer. It knows the data, understands the history, and delivers contextually rich conversations that convert.

This is why we’re designing our AI capabilities with a focus on the unique needs of financial services organizations. The same purpose-built approach has earned the Total Expert platform its unmatched reputation for usability and time to value.

Generalist AI offerings can be a gamble that increase costs—and time to value

Implementing AI that’s not purpose-built for financial services introduces two major risks:

1. Usability failure: Your team must spend months customizing and configuring a generalist AI tool to make it work for your specific needs—if it will ever work at all. For example, imagine you’re a loan officer and one of your referral partners introduces you to a borrower. Now, you have to choose the best way to approach the first conversation with this borrower. There are countless permutations of questions and answers which all require deep personalization, compliance awareness, and consistent representation of the sales processes and brand tone of the lender. Generalist AIs will quickly reach their limitations in these complex use cases.

An industry-focused AI offering will be trained on this specific use case and provided with the context needed to hold a dynamic conversation with the borrower. This type of AI learns and adapts with each interaction, performing the most time-consuming tasks so you don’t have to.    

2. Compliance risk: Without built-in industry guardrails, you’re gambling with regulatory violations and brand safety.  As we know, the compliance landscape for financial services is broad and evolving at the federal and state level.  Look for AI offerings that are regulatory aware and enable you to configure them based on your organization’s risk tolerance and interpretations.

Lenders don’t need more tools—they need the right tools—ones that work out of the box, understand industry nuances, and deliver immediate, compliant value.

Ask these questions before you commit to an AI offering  

To maximize the probability of success, here’s a quick checklist for vetting solutions:

  • Can it solve a real, high-value business problem, and how? Review specific examples and ask to speak with other organizations that have implemented the tool.
  • Does it function as a true AI agent, not a static bot?
  • Can it be deeply integrated into your core system(s), workflow orchestration, and data?
  • Does it include financial industry compliance and brand guardrails?
  • Can it scale without sacrificing quality or regulatory integrity?

Building the future with purpose-built AI

Total Expert has always designed technology with financial services in mind, and our approach to utilizing AI is no different. We’re not chasing hype. We’re solving problems.

Our focus on AI isn’t simply building standalone features—it’s about embedded, intelligent, and deeply integrated AI solutions. It’s helping lenders scale smarter, engage more meaningfully, and turn data into action. Our AI Sales Assistant is just the beginning—an example of how purpose-built, AI-enabled solutions can solve real problems and deliver tangible value. We are already testing and exploring other AI-enabled solutions and I could not be more excited about the current and potential value our clients and our market will achieve.

Because when AI works, it’s not just impressive—it’s indispensable.

See Total Expert
in action

Sign up
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Create sustainable growth and increase loyalty with a customer engagement platform that’s purpose-built for financial institutions.
Schedule a demo