Lending

Don’t Let Mortgage Rates Dictate Your Success in 2025

5 mins read
January 6, 2025
By
Mike Waterston

Even after the Federal Reserve made three rate cuts in the second half of 2024, mortgage rates still climbed to nearly 7% by New Year’s Eve. That’s not the result anyone hoped for and has understandably left many lenders and loan officers asking, “What the Fed?”

We covered the reasons why mortgage rates don’t immediately fall along with the Fed rate in our recent blog: How to Engage Your Customers About the Fed Rate Cuts, but sitting back and waiting for mortgage rates to come down won’t help you build pipeline or generate loans.

Being proactive and focusing on building your relationships with borrowers, homeowners, and real estate partners will position you for success no matter what happens with the market in 2025.

Four out of five economists agree: They don’t know what’s going to happen

Depending on your news source (and the date of publication), 2025 was going to be a rebound year for the housing market. Rates would continue to fall, inventory would increase, and refi opportunities would be kicking down your door! That was then. Now? Not so fast.

Inflation refuses to play nice, and employment data isn’t inspiring confidence, causing the Fed to backpedal on any proposed rate cuts in 2025 and pull the rug out from under everyone.  

This uncertainty makes it difficult for lenders and loan officers to implement and execute long-term strategies. But focusing entirely on chasing short-term opportunities means sacrificing stability, loyalty, and continued success beyond 2025.

Expect continued market volatility throughout 2025

The general consensus as of publication (January 6, 2025) is that the housing market will follow a similar pattern of short-term mortgage rate drops followed by short-term hikes.

“Heightened mortgage rate volatility may present opportunities for would-be homebuyers to take advantage of temporary lows,” wrote Fannie Mae Chief Economist Mark Palim, who foresees rates falling to about 6% by the end of 2025. “We may see stretches where housing activity is boosted by lower rates.”

This volatility presents lenders and loan officers with opportunities to educate customers about the state of the market and provide advice based on their needs and goals.  

Loan opportunities are out there. We’ll help you find them.

Your customers may not have the option to sit back and wait for mortgage rates to fall. Relocating for work, growing their family, downsizing for retirement, and plenty of other life events can force them to make mortgage-related decisions sooner than they’d hoped.

Customer retention in the mortgage industry continues to lag behind other financial fields, with just one in five borrowers returning to the same lender when they have a new mortgage need. Having the right tools and strategies in place to nurture relationships with past customers will make it easier to recapture their business when they need to make their next mortgage-related decision.

But finding and engaging those opportunities doesn’t have to take hours of digging through your database. Total Expert Customer Intelligence monitors your entire database and alerts you when a contact has their credit pulled, lists a property, qualifies for a better rate, or reaches an equity threshold. And with our latest Life Event insights, your contact records are continuously updated with the latest available data to help you engage every customer in authentic, meaningful conversations as their life—and financial situation—evolves.

ON-DEMAND WEBINAR

Turn Data into a Strategy to Win Customers for Life

Join Total Expert’s James White and Fifth Third Bank’s Ann Marie Wallace for a discussion about how to harness your data and use it to drive more meaningful engagements with your customers in 2025 and beyond.

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The mortgage industry is in the midst of a historic transformation—and artificial intelligence is leading the way. Our Founder & CEO, Joe Welu, joined David Lykken for an episode of the Lykken on Lending podcast to discuss how Total Expert’s AI solutions will reshape the customer journey for lenders.

From incubating leads and mining databases to nurturing post-close relationships, Joe shares how voice AI is giving loan officers “superpowers” that help scale productivity, improve retention, and focus on delivering the high-value advice consumers need most. With compliance guardrails built in and multiple AI agents on the horizon, this episode offers an inside look at the future of mortgage lending and why early adopters of AI will hold a major competitive edge.

Joe also explains why the human element remains central to homeownership, and how AI is designed not to replace loan officers, but to free them up for more meaningful conversations that strengthen customer trust and drive long-term loyalty.

Catch the conversation to hear how AI is revolutionizing lending and why Joe believes those who embrace it will be tomorrow’s market leaders.

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[Daily Mortgage News Podcast] Joe Welu Talks Agentic AI in the Mortgage Industry

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Total Expert Founder & CEO Joe Welu recently joined Robbie Chrisman for an episode of the Daily Mortgage News podcast where they discussed the current (and future) state of the mortgage industry, challenges facing lenders and loan officers, and the solutions that AI-enabled tools can provide in difficult markets.

Agentic AI is reshaping loan officer productivity and customer engagement. With Total Expert’s new AI Sales Assistant, lenders can automate lead incubation and qualification—achieving human-like conversion rates in weeks, not months. Joe also highlights the power of voice AI to revive aged leads, trigger refinance opportunities, and prevent deals from falling through the cracks, all without the need for massive call centers and without removing loan officers’ ability to build authentic human connections with borrowers and homeowners.

That’s because AI-enabled tools are designed to reduce the administrative and repetitive tasks that take you away from what you do best: advising customers and guiding them toward the best possible financial outcomes. Joe also shares insights on selecting AI partners wisely, managing data responsibly, and capitalizing on both front- and back-office efficiencies. As the AI arms race heats up, Total Expert aims to empower originators—not replace them.

Joe and Robbie's discussion begins at the 4:55 mark.

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Delivering AI Solutions that Drive Real Value in Financial Services

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By Pete Karns, Chief Product Officer, Total Expert

AI is no longer a future state—it’s already here, embedded in everything from ride-sharing apps and food service to factories and farms. In the world of financial services, though, this ubiquity comes with pressure to integrate AI fast, appear innovative, and keep up with competitors—all while being mindful of evolving federal and state compliance requirements. Moving fast without a plan or awareness of up and downstream implications often leads to AI-enabled solutions that either underdeliver or don’t deliver at all.

At Total Expert, we’ve taken a different path: thoughtful integration over flashy announcements. As more financial institutions wrestle with what “real AI adoption” should look like, here’s what we’ve learned and what lenders need to consider to get it right.

Where enterprise AI goes wrong

Too many financial services leaders have experienced what I call “AI failure to launch (and scale).” They’ve rushed to try unintegrated AI-enable offerings and bolt on AI tools—often generalist chatbots, white-labeled versions of generative tools, and/or hooking up to MCP servers—without a clear sense of how these tools will solve their business problems or add potential risk. The result? The occasional value-add result. However, what we see more is poor user adoption, wasted spend, and limited impact.

This is the same trap we saw with “digital transformation” a decade ago, or the original horizontal SaaS applications that evolved or were replaced by vertical-specific solutions. AI-enabled solutions offer tremendous, generational promise but they risk becoming vanity-first, value-later tools. We are focused on the former.

AI that thinks and adapts: Welcome to agentic AI

Let’s make one thing clear: not all AI is created equal.  

Chatbots have been commonplace in financial services for a decade now, but remain rigid, rule-based tools that handle repetitive tasks.  I’ve worked with “AI” services for more than 15 years and each had their own place and potential when used properly. Herein lies the opportunity. Modern lenders that are focused on retaining and growing their customers in an ultra-competitive market need something more dynamic. Enter AI agents that can understand context, adapt on the fly, and speak in a human-like way. These agents are coachable, brand-aware, and learn from every interaction. They don’t follow scripts—they think in real time. And when built correctly, they become a seamless part of your customer experience.

This is the evolution from AI as a support function to AI as a trusted team member.

Total Expert recently launched an AI Sales Assistant that puts this principle into action. It functions as a scalable, intelligent teammate—able to engage leads, deliver personalized conversations, and identify high-potential opportunities—all while staying aligned with your brand voice and compliance requirements. It’s not a chatbot bolted onto a CRM—it’s a fully integrated AI-enabled solution, utilizing data, embedding within workflow orchestration, and playing nice with application logic because it has the necessary context to work within your lending ecosystem.

The real “why” behind AI adoption

Before choosing any AI solution, or any technology solution, financial services firms must ask themselves: What business problem are we solving?

For example, when mortgage rates dropped for a few weeks in September 2024, our customer intelligence capabilities identified nearly $2 billion in immediate refinance opportunities. But no team of loan officers could scale quickly enough to reach every qualified lead. That’s where AI tools prove invaluable—automating first-touch outreach at scale, surfacing the best opportunities, and empowering human teams to scale up execution to drive retention and growth.

Why embedded beats bolted-on

The types of AI-enabled solutions we are talking about can’t function effectively in isolation. Without access to timely and accurate customer data, and invoked within a specific workflow process, it can’t personalize interactions, anticipate needs, or drive conversions at the right time.

Picture an AI assistant offering a refinance to a customer, only to stall when asked for more details. If it doesn’t know the customer’s current rate or financial profile, the experience feels hollow. That’s not just ineffective—it damages trust.

By contrast, when AI-enabled solutions are embedded within a unified customer experience platform like Total Expert, it draws on a 360-degree view of the customer. It knows the data, understands the history, and delivers contextually rich conversations that convert.

This is why we’re designing our AI capabilities with a focus on the unique needs of financial services organizations. The same purpose-built approach has earned the Total Expert platform its unmatched reputation for usability and time to value.

Generalist AI offerings can be a gamble that increase costs—and time to value

Implementing AI that’s not purpose-built for financial services introduces two major risks:

1. Usability failure: Your team must spend months customizing and configuring a generalist AI tool to make it work for your specific needs—if it will ever work at all. For example, imagine you’re a loan officer and one of your referral partners introduces you to a borrower. Now, you have to choose the best way to approach the first conversation with this borrower. There are countless permutations of questions and answers which all require deep personalization, compliance awareness, and consistent representation of the sales processes and brand tone of the lender. Generalist AIs will quickly reach their limitations in these complex use cases.

An industry-focused AI offering will be trained on this specific use case and provided with the context needed to hold a dynamic conversation with the borrower. This type of AI learns and adapts with each interaction, performing the most time-consuming tasks so you don’t have to.    

2. Compliance risk: Without built-in industry guardrails, you’re gambling with regulatory violations and brand safety.  As we know, the compliance landscape for financial services is broad and evolving at the federal and state level.  Look for AI offerings that are regulatory aware and enable you to configure them based on your organization’s risk tolerance and interpretations.

Lenders don’t need more tools—they need the right tools—ones that work out of the box, understand industry nuances, and deliver immediate, compliant value.

Ask these questions before you commit to an AI offering  

To maximize the probability of success, here’s a quick checklist for vetting solutions:

  • Can it solve a real, high-value business problem, and how? Review specific examples and ask to speak with other organizations that have implemented the tool.
  • Does it function as a true AI agent, not a static bot?
  • Can it be deeply integrated into your core system(s), workflow orchestration, and data?
  • Does it include financial industry compliance and brand guardrails?
  • Can it scale without sacrificing quality or regulatory integrity?

Building the future with purpose-built AI

Total Expert has always designed technology with financial services in mind, and our approach to utilizing AI is no different. We’re not chasing hype. We’re solving problems.

Our focus on AI isn’t simply building standalone features—it’s about embedded, intelligent, and deeply integrated AI solutions. It’s helping lenders scale smarter, engage more meaningfully, and turn data into action. Our AI Sales Assistant is just the beginning—an example of how purpose-built, AI-enabled solutions can solve real problems and deliver tangible value. We are already testing and exploring other AI-enabled solutions and I could not be more excited about the current and potential value our clients and our market will achieve.

Because when AI works, it’s not just impressive—it’s indispensable.

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